Industry Analysis
South Korea’s $590B DRAM expansion isn’t just capacity scaling—it’s a strategic bet on AI’s memory bottleneck. Technically, surging HBM demand forces migration to 1β/1γ nodes, pulling EUV lithography, advanced packaging, and silicon interposers into overdrive. Yet such concentrated investment invites antitrust scrutiny, especially as the U.S. and EU push memory supply chain diversification, raising compliance overhead. Micron will likely accelerate its Japan-U.S. fab subsidies and deepen NVIDIA co-design for differentiated HBM. Over the next 18 months, the market faces 'phantom oversupply': near-term price pressure masking an impending structural shortage by 2027. The winner? Whoever locks in the tech-capacity-customer triad first—and commands pricing.
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